UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - South vs Alvey

1,789

CageRank

WINNER
Alvey

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Alvey
WILL WIN

1,987

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Alvey
Much heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 6.7 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly younger 31 years vs 40 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Jason South
Much better submission offense 8.9 vs 6.2 Around 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Alvey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against South’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Alvey
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvey has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alvey is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Alvey is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
South on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
South
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
South is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
South has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
South is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvey 9.1
fighter South 6.7
Great knockouts by Alvey
Round 5 Oct 04, 2013 vs South
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs O'Malley
Round 4 Aug 01, 2009 vs Honneger

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvey 6.2
fighter South 8.9
Great submissions by South
Round 2 Feb 24, 2012 vs Ruberg
Round 2 Aug 17, 2011 vs Hatch
Round 1 Oct 29, 2010 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvey 7.9
fighter South 8.3
Fast finishes by South
516 seconds Feb 24, 2012 vs Ruberg
454 seconds Aug 17, 2011 vs Hatch
144 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Jackson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 4, 2013MFC 38
team
VS
team
XR5 KO
R1 SUBX
1,8931,878
1,8411,930
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvey
legend South
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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