UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Rousey

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
55% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 6.4 Around 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 155 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 5:43, how much damage will she do? Rousey McGregor
Significant Strikes27
Rousey's average striking offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 51 Significant Strikes in 5:43
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:43
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 5:43, how much damage will he do? McGregor Rousey
Significant Strikes29
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 51 Significant Strikes in 5:43
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend McGregor
Read More
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Rousey vs Lesnar
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 4 comments.
cause thissl happen
Bulllcraaaaaapppppp!!!!!!!!
Ehrm... Update plz. If Aldo can only take one of his left hand shots, Ronda isn't going to stand a chance. Conor laughs at Ronda's "boxing" and then tells Edmond and the rest of her team to get into the cage, and also invites Travis Browne in to help her and he KO's all of them.
Bullshit...
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