UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Bisping

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Bisping

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Bisping
WILL WIN

2,057

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Bisping
Better striker 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 192 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 29 years vs 38 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Bisping on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Bisping
In 12:01, how much damage will he do? Bisping McGregor
Significant Strikes84
Bisping's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:01
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bisping's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:01
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bisping is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bisping is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bisping’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 12:01, how much damage will he do? McGregor Bisping
Significant Strikes47
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:01
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:01
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bisping 9.5
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Bisping
93 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Belcher
102 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
50 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bisping 8.3
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bisping 8.5
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bisping 6.8
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Bisping
Round 1 Nov 26, 2005 vs Pointon
Round 1 Oct 01, 2005 vs Lovstad
Round 1 Jun 18, 2005 vs Cook

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bisping 8.3
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bisping
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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