UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Jones

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
88% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.4 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.9 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 185 cm More than 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much taller 193 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% taller
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier 205 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 40% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 9:45, how much damage will he do? Jones McGregor
Significant Strikes69
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:45
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:45
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 9:45, how much damage will he do? McGregor Jones
Significant Strikes26
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:45
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend McGregor
Read More
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Jones vs St. Pierre
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus