UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Belfort

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.5 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 10.0 vs 9.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 29 years vs 40 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 5:20, how much damage will he do? Belfort McGregor
Significant Strikes34
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:20
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:20
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 5:20, how much damage will he do? McGregor Belfort
Significant Strikes12
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:20
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Belfort
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 1 Mar 25, 2001 vs Southworth
Round 1 Dec 21, 1997 vs Charles

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend McGregor
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Belfort vs Faber
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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