UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Swanson

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

2,134

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 12:44, how much damage will he do? Swanson McGregor
Significant Strikes65
Swanson's average striking offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:44
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Swanson's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swanson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 12:44, how much damage will he do? McGregor Swanson
Significant Strikes56
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
McGregor's average takedown offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Swanson 8.6
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Swanson 8.3
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Swanson
Round 3 Nov 18, 2009 vs Franchi
Round 3 Feb 23, 2008 vs Walker
Round 1 Mar 24, 2007 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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