UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs St. Pierre

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
92% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.3 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.5 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre McGregor
Significant Strikes97
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor St. Pierre
Significant Strikes37
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend McGregor
Read More
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
St. Pierre vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 3 comments.
ROFL GSP would kill Conor not even close he would take him down and tap him out in under 1 minute
Fanboy love? GSP is the goat. Mcgregor is just your boyfriend. You can't compare the goat and that pos Mcgoober. Lol he can't even beat a low quality fighter like Diaz. Go kiss Mcgoober goodnight idiot. Your the fanboy.
Are you high. GSP hasn't had a fight since UFC 167 in November 2013. That's as if he hasn't had fight at all. McGregor would KO GSP in the first round. It would be Aldo all over again. GSP hasn't faced the likes of McGregor before. Hell be barely got the decision over Johny Hendricks. Hell Nate Diaz could beat GSP. This is just fanboy love and hope.
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