UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Hendricks

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
78% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,259

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Significantly heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Hendricks McGregor
Significant Strikes67
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? McGregor Hendricks
Significant Strikes40
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Hendricks
Round 1 Mar 15, 2008 vs Gamble

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Mac has 0 chance at beating this man.
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