UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Brimage

2,038

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McGregor

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance McGregor
WILL WIN

1,797

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 173 cm vs 163 cm More than 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 6.4 vs 6.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 28 years vs 31 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Marcus Brimage
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brimage’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 6:47, how much damage will he do? McGregor Brimage
Significant Strikes40
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Brimage's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:47
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Brimage's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Brimage on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcus
Brimage
In 6:47, how much damage will he do? Brimage McGregor
Significant Strikes39
Brimage's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:47
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brimage's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:47
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brimage is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brimage is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brimage is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McGregor 8.6
fighter Brimage 8.9
Great striking by Brimage
111 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Hettes
24 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Blanco
88 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Bass

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McGregor 8.5
fighter Brimage 7.8
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McGregor 9.4
fighter Brimage 7.7
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McGregor 6.5
fighter Brimage 6.2
Great submissions by McGregor
Round 2 Jun 02, 2012 vs Hill

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McGregor 9.2
fighter Brimage 7.5
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 6, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 9
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,9431,883
1,9841,842
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McGregor
legend Brimage
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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