UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Alvarez

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Alvarez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Alvarez
WILL WIN

2,231

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eddie Alvarez
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.4 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Alvarez
In 9:56, how much damage will he do? Alvarez McGregor
Significant Strikes52
Alvarez's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:56
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Alvarez's excellent takedown offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:56
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 9:56, how much damage will he do? McGregor Alvarez
Significant Strikes45
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:56
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alvarez 8.7
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Alvarez
20 strikes Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
46 strikes Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
48 strikes May 11, 2008 vs Hansen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Alvarez 9.2
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Alvarez
2 takedowns Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
7 takedowns May 11, 2008 vs Hansen
3 takedowns Mar 15, 2008 vs Amado

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvarez 8.8
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvarez 8.1
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Alvarez
Round 2 May 06, 2010 vs Neer
Round 2 Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
Round 2 Jun 19, 2009 vs Imada

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvarez 8.9
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 12, 2016UFC 205
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvarez
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 8 comments.
You are delusional
Haha this website is a joke. Conor absolutely annihilated Eddie Alvarez.
Now what? Alvarez got his ass schooled.
UFC 205 Live Online=>> http://ufc205live.neocities.org/ UFC 205 Live Online=>> http://ufc205live.neocities.org/
nnnnnnnnnn
Mcgregor will absolutely eliminate alvarez from the entire structure of ufc. Bigman back.
CM is the PT Barnum of MMA. The Aldo fight is really hard to evaluate. Mendes almost submitted him on 2 weeks notice. Diaz really won both fights; UFC was NOT going to let a very close fight go to the non-cash cow, not to mention fight #3 which benefits ND, CM, and UFC.
I've got Alvarez on this one
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