UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Struve

2,038

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McGregor

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
57% chance McGregor
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 173 cm Around 25% taller
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.4 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier 264 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 70% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 185 cm More than 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 9:30, how much damage will he do? McGregor Struve
Significant Strikes54
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:30
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 9:30, how much damage will he do? Struve McGregor
Significant Strikes43
Struve's average striking offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:30
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:30
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Struve is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McGregor 8.6
fighter Struve 8.4
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McGregor 8.5
fighter Struve 7.3
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McGregor 9.4
fighter Struve 8.1
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McGregor 6.5
fighter Struve 8.0
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McGregor 9.2
fighter Struve 8.8
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McGregor
legend Struve
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
It's fucking joke? AHAHAHHAHA
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