UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Miocic

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Much heavier 244 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 70% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much taller 193 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% taller
Significantly longer reach 203 cm vs 185 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Younger 28 years vs 34 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 9:50, how much damage will he do? Miocic McGregor
Significant Strikes57
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:50
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miocic's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 9:50, how much damage will he do? McGregor Miocic
Significant Strikes52
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:50
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Miocic
63 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
106 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
32 strikes May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Miocic
Round 2 Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend McGregor
Read More
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Velasquez
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus