UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Hyun Kim

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Hyun Kim

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Hyun Kim
WILL WIN

2,147

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dong Hyun Kim
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Hyun Kim on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dong
Hyun Kim
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hyun Kim McGregor
Significant Strikes67
Hyun Kim's average striking offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hyun Kim's good takedown offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hyun Kim has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hyun Kim is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hyun Kim has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hyun Kim’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor Hyun Kim
Significant Strikes55
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Hyun Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hyun Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.3
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.9
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Hyun Kim
1 takedown Oct 09, 2013 vs Silva
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Bahadurzada
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.3
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hyun Kim 6.5
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Hyun Kim
Round 3 May 23, 2015 vs Burkman
Round 1 May 24, 2006 vs Tanimura

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hyun Kim 7.6
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hyun Kim
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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