UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Diaz

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,056

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nate Diaz
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.4 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Diaz
In 10:34, how much damage will he do? Diaz McGregor
Significant Strikes68
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:34
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:34
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 10:34, how much damage will he do? McGregor Diaz
Significant Strikes48
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:34
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.3
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Diaz
33 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
46 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Miller
238 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Cerrone

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.8
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 7.4
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.6
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 2 May 05, 2012 vs Miller
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 28, 2010 vs Davis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 20, 2016UFC 202
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XX
00
00
March 5, 2016UFC 196
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend McGregor
Read More
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Diaz vs Diaz
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 25 comments.
Have you died choking on Conor's dick on fight night?Where are you pussy?
Hey motherfucka,are you still hiding in your mama's pussy?When you will apologize for all your trolling as your bf lost convincingly?
I said Nate rarely goes for the takedown which he doesn't but he can roll you if you take him down like he did to Miller. Connor went for the takedown which Nate capitalized on. I didn't think Connor would go for the takedown but he did because he was rocked.
Sorry,if that hurt you..Nate Diaz has won matches by submission and you were saying Nate rarely finishes on the ground.
How do I feel? I was wrong. Good for Diaz. As for you calling something that somebody says stupid, that is a reflection of you and not me. safe travels
How do you feel now about your stupid analysis ?LOL!
Conor got beat by a guy with less than 2 weeks to train. Where's all the shit talk now? Calling people cowards, but you're the one hiding. Typical Conorite.
Give him time. He needs to find another fighter to mindlessly follow after he's done crying about the McGregor loss
You were saying?
Bjj is not more effective both effective and need both but more wrestlers on top than bjj guys js
Predicted it to a see now YOU apoligize u dellisional faggot id do you the same as Diaz just did ur bf
Where u at big pussy
Called round and how it was gonna happen guess big man don't know his shit after all lmao
The funny thing is you don't know jack shit cause ur boy just got finished in the round I said he would pussy go cry to ur fake gf and take down ur gum shrine in ur closet rofl don't show YOUR face around here anymore pussy lmfao all he can do is beat lil guys tell him go back to cage warriors khabib finishes him in one darrion Caldwell from bellator finishes him in one fergueson beats him Edgar over rated cash cow hype train one trick pony where u at pussy?
Where you at faggot?!?! Lmfao called the round and finish pussy. One trick pony hype train derailed! Dumb ass noob fan!!
Don't worry about him. He does this to everybody
it's based on an algorithm but it's not up to date...missing the last few years of fights meaning anyone that has done well those last couple years it won't show
it's not up to date...if you click on the individual fighters is missing a bunch of their latest fights. missing mcgregor's last 5 which would put him ahead of diaz for the points
Well first off you are wrong on my age. second off if I was 30-40 I wouldn't be a kid dumbass. I'm 26, and you are a virgin. This loser posted a pic of some naked model saying it's his gf 😂. I saved the image and went too one of those image look up sites and found her all over the place lmfao. Bro ur dellisional you have make beleive gfs and you wish you were conors movement coach so you two fag bags could play touch butt all night hahahhaha fucking nerd. ur either a fat 40 yr old virgin who lives with mom or a 12 year old. I'm done with you you butchered yourself when you posted that picture lmfao
Mendes had 2 only weeks to prepare and destroyed CM on the ground. CM will get boxed up by Diaz and will lose on the ground. CM has no chance against Diaz. He just has a big mouth and is all pumped up.
I'll say it again: Diaz beats CM every time unless the fight is fixed or it's a judges robbery. If you're putting your cash on on a CM 1st RD KO then I have a mango farm in Antarctica to sell you since you'll believe anything. Send the funds to my paypal account.
I also bet on Cruz and Johnson was an easy R1 bet. Your "predictions" are the same as CM the balloons predictions.
Thompson ko'd Diaz. Mcgregor will do the same... Lets break down the scenario's 1) Decision- The fight is likely to stay standing, McGregor throws more and is likely to be awarded a decision. The decision favors McGregor 2) Knock-out- Diaz was knocked out by Thompson, McGregor has an iron chin. Knock-out favors McGregor 3) Submission- Diaz wants to keep the fight standing, he rarely goes for the takedown. Submission is very unlikely for either guy.
you are a pussy, you are afraid of my greatness and you can't even own up on your mistakes.
Brags
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