UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Souza

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 6.4 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 183 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 29 years vs 37 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 8:04, how much damage will he do? Souza McGregor
Significant Strikes43
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:04
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:04
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 8:04, how much damage will he do? McGregor Souza
Significant Strikes23
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:04
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend McGregor
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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