UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Emelianenko

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier 222 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 45% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 189 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 29 years vs 41 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 7:32, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko McGregor
Significant Strikes46
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:32
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 7:32, how much damage will he do? McGregor Emelianenko
Significant Strikes20
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:32
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend McGregor
Read More
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Emelianenko vs Cormier
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Wow, i cant believe you would even put mcgregor in the same sentence as fedor let alone think he would stand the slightest chance. There isnt a governing body in the world that would sanction that beating. You might as well ask people who would win in a fight between a chiuaua and a boa constrictor. This post is a joke bro and whoever thinks conor would put up even the slightest fight against the likes of fedor, they probably just started watching mma last week. There might be one way mcgregor would ever come close to winning this fight, and that one way would be to show up to the fight with a gun. Conor vs Fedor hahahahaha smh. Youre not the brightest individual are you?
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