UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Edgar

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

2,131

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar McGregor
Significant Strikes91
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Edgar's good takedown offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor Edgar
Significant Strikes59
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Edgar
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
Round 1 Apr 14, 2006 vs McCabe
Round 1 Dec 10, 2005 vs Isip

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 14 comments.
Lol OK bro. Strangled by the #5 lightweight who had 10 days notice. Hype train is over
Frank owns McGregor in first round knockout.
i didn't say anything about numbers on this boy, you cra buddy.
Where are you getting your numbers? Your stats are WAY off. Conor is 5'9" and has a 74" reach, Edgar is 5'6" and has a 68" reach. You then go on to say that their reach is "almost the same". 6" reach advantage is huge at FW. Add in a 3 inch height difference and the picture is completely different. I came here first to see their measurements through a google search and knew that couldn't be right.
Hey, its people like you who get everything wrong in a fight and then I say what will happen and how it will happen. All I ask is to beg for mercy, mabye a kiss on the feet or two!! I said who would win in the rockhold fight and I said who would win in mcgregor vs aldo, aka: going on a 100 fight pick streak, undefeated ufc lightweight fight picker of the world.
Go home McGregor troll. You've posted on this thread 66.6% of all posts, most to yourself, talking crap. It's obvious you're either McGregor himself, or you suck McGregor's wang. One of the two.
I don't see anyone beating McGregor in a stand-up fight, even Edgar, who's a good boxer. McGregor is too long. But Edgar is very good on the ground too, and McGregor doesn't seem to be. If Edgar could take him down and keep him down, Edgar could win. I'd give Mendes a chance too, if he didn't take the fight on short notice and run out of gas. He's got a good ground game. That's the only way to beat McGregor.
its not fight this person that way or this way but its just that you can't beat mcgregor, thats it, not possible.
Mcgregor is the champion, he would kill edgar.
Edgar would have to fight him like he fought Cub Swanson.
Edgar would die if he thought mcgregor
and mendes
He would get destoryed by aldo
Edgar stands in the pocket
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