UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Maynard

2,038

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McGregor

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
55% chance McGregor
WILL WIN

2,005

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.2 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.3 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly younger 29 years vs 38 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Gray Maynard
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly better submission offense 6.5 vs 6.4 Almost the same
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 6:33, how much damage will he do? McGregor Maynard
Significant Strikes34
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 59 Significant Strikes in 6:33
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maynard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gray
Maynard
In 6:33, how much damage will he do? Maynard McGregor
Significant Strikes32
Maynard's average striking offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 59 Significant Strikes in 6:33
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Maynard's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maynard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maynard has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McGregor 8.6
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McGregor 8.5
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great takedowns by Maynard
1 takedown Jun 22, 2012 vs Guida
5 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Florian
5 takedowns Oct 25, 2008 vs Clementi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McGregor 9.4
fighter Maynard 7.2
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McGregor 6.5
fighter Maynard 6.5
Great submissions by Maynard
Round 2 Feb 21, 2007 vs Melendez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McGregor 9.2
fighter Maynard 7.3
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McGregor
legend Maynard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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