UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs dos Santos

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
dos Santos

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier 239 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 65% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much taller 193 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% taller
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 10:51, how much damage will he do? dos Santos McGregor
Significant Strikes76
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:51
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:51
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 10:51, how much damage will he do? McGregor dos Santos
Significant Strikes41
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:51
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Santos 9.6
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Santos 7.7
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Santos 9.2
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Santos 6.9
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by dos Santos
Round 3 Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic
Round 1 Dec 09, 2006 vs Maiorino

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Santos 8.6
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Santos
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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