UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Werdum

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.4 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier 242 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 55% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much taller 193 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% taller
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 29 years vs 40 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 9:36, how much damage will he do? Werdum McGregor
Significant Strikes59
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:36
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Werdum's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:36
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 9:36, how much damage will he do? McGregor Werdum
Significant Strikes33
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:36
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:36
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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