UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Sanchez

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Sanchez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance Sanchez
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez McGregor
Significant Strikes81
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sanchez's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor Sanchez
Significant Strikes75
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sanchez 8.7
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Sanchez
65 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
51 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
66 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sanchez 8.5
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Sanchez
Round 1 Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
Round 2 Aug 20, 2005 vs Gassaway
Round 1 May 15, 2004 vs Elbe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sanchez 7.7
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sanchez
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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