UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Lawler

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Much stronger jaw 9.9 vs 8.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 6.4 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 10:21, how much damage will he do? Lawler McGregor
Significant Strikes56
Lawler's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:21
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:21
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 10:21, how much damage will he do? McGregor Lawler
Significant Strikes41
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:21
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Lawler
44 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs MacDonald
9 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
8 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lawler 7.4
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by McGregor
Round 2 Jun 02, 2012 vs Hill

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend McGregor
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Lawler vs dos Anjos
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Here's how the fight would play out. Lawler with uppercut. McGregor with counter.ROUND 2. Lawler and McGregor trade blows. ROUND 3. Lawler rear naked chokes McGregor. WINNER by submission Robby Ruthless Lawler.
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