UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Dillashaw

2,038

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McGregor

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
56% chance McGregor
WILL WIN

1,994

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 155 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 7:46, how much damage will he do? McGregor Dillashaw
Significant Strikes36
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:46
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:46
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 7:46, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw McGregor
Significant Strikes41
Dillashaw's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:46
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dillashaw's good takedown offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:46
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McGregor 8.6
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
Great striking by Dillashaw
117 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
21 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
85 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Watson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McGregor 8.5
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
Great takedowns by Dillashaw
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
1 takedown Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
2 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McGregor 9.4
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McGregor 6.5
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
Great submissions by Dillashaw
Round 1 Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
Round 1 Oct 02, 2010 vs Suarez
Round 1 May 22, 2010 vs Drucker

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McGregor 9.2
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McGregor
legend Dillashaw
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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