UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Barboza

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Barboza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Barboza
WILL WIN

2,053

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Edson Barboza
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Heavier hands 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 10:51, how much damage will he do? Barboza McGregor
Significant Strikes67
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:51
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:51
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 10:51, how much damage will he do? McGregor Barboza
Significant Strikes59
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:51
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barboza 7.6
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barboza 6.7
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Barboza
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs King

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barboza 8.7
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barboza
legend McGregor
Read More
Barboza vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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