UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Aldo

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
83% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,308

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Significantly heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 28 years vs 30 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 10:43, how much damage will he do? Aldo McGregor
Significant Strikes61
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:43
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 10:43, how much damage will he do? McGregor Aldo
Significant Strikes37
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:43
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Aldo
Round 1 Jul 09, 2005 vs Silverio
Round 1 Mar 19, 2005 vs de Paula

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2015UFC 194
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 25 comments.
what are you smoking bro......can I have some? If McGregor goes back to defend his title he would make quick work of Aldo. Aldo is hoping McGregor simply gives up on the 145 title rather then defend it.
Now what? Aldo got his ass kick in round 1! get lost cage rank
Nope!
It was a correction, not a sentence, Bro. . .yeah, I went there. . .
He's 5'9" (1,75m), not 5'8" (1,72m).
so what were you saying?
so what were you talking about, bow down and kiss my feet.
you call embarssing to me when I am acurate, shut your mouth now boy.
I say the same thing I said before "Of course Conor has a chance, but Aldo is the clear favorite". Conor had a chance and he took it. Good for him.
You look like a shitcunt.
There you go, mcgreggor wanna be gets an average score of 3/5 yet talks like he knows about the sport. Youre a child.
I have came not to see with such disgrace To see losers go at such a pace with stupidness you do need, it is not your barrel but yet your seed I say what will happen while you guess Your so stupid, such a mess I predicted and it came true conors eye was clean while jose's was blue
I predicted this fight just like I predicted when you would come back. I said that you would cry after this fight and be upset then a couple days later come back and think your tough, predicted it!! Losers keep on coming not to show heart but to make excuses.
all of the shiit you said and you still are on this site, you didn't even apologize. Wow, so disrespectful, I say what will happen and it happened. Wow, what disrespect you have, either apologize or leave the site.
what disrespect you have, you made the deal and you still didn't go through with the deal, now you have to hear from me everday, what disrespect you have.
Got emmmm
What do you say now?
I've realized by following cagerank you favor Aldo for the win.. He's been the best in the world, and I've always respected his fighting prowess and been a fan of his forever. But if you're going to do a cage rank, the least you could do is to get Conor McGregor's stats right..According to the UFC and the Center For Sports Performance, Conor is 5'9.His reach is 34....After watching both fighters, I believe Conor is the better choice. Conor is the new breed of fighter for the future of MMA. with his exceptional elusive body movements, great jaw and hard puncher. Is he perfect? No. But, Conor is a smart fighter, ergo all the subterfuge trash talk he does and his cocky attitude.. That is part of his game plan and no one on cagerank gives consideration to how important this is in the world of fighting. Aldo has been freaked out since Conor got in his head. That's why Conor wins before he steps into the Octogon. I don't say this out of ignorance, I'm not a newby to the sport..I've been watching this sport from the time they only had three rules, five rounds, No Holds Barred..
well now this is awkward...
it is all over, I said what would happen and it happened. You can come back, I changed my mind about letting you not be on this site, you say what you want to say and thats okay, I just say what will happen, thats it.
uu
ou
oi
lets hear that pussy voice, common boy, pussy voice, I want to smell your pussy voice on the phone, common boy, common boy.
you already went running
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