UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Poirier

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Poirier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Poirier
WILL WIN

2,052

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.4 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
In 10:35, how much damage will he do? Poirier McGregor
Significant Strikes66
Poirier's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:35
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Poirier's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Poirier is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 10:35, how much damage will he do? McGregor Poirier
Significant Strikes56
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:35
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Poirier 9.1
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Poirier
44 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
54 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
77 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Grispi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Poirier 8.0
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Poirier 8.1
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Poirier 7.9
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
Round 2 Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Poirier 8.7
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 27, 2014UFC 178
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Poirier
legend McGregor
Read More
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Poirier vs Ferguson
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
Porier said that
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