UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Lamas

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Lamas

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Lamas
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ricardo Lamas
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Lamas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Lamas
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lamas McGregor
Significant Strikes69
Lamas's average striking offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lamas's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lamas is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lamas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lamas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor Lamas
Significant Strikes61
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lamas 8.4
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lamas 8.3
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lamas 8.0
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lamas 7.4
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Lamas
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
Round 4 Apr 26, 2008 vs Ferry
Round 1 Jan 25, 2008 vs Corry

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lamas 8.1
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lamas
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
McGregor by TKO round 1.
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