UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Masvidal

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal McGregor
Significant Strikes81
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor Masvidal
Significant Strikes66
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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