UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Melendez

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
76% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez McGregor
Significant Strikes99
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor Melendez
Significant Strikes60
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Melendez
Round 2 Mar 10, 2006 vs Sarmiento

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus