UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Sakuraba

2,038

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McGregor

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
89% chance McGregor
WILL WIN

1,676

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 6.2 More than 50% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much younger 29 years vs 48 years Around 40% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Kazushi Sakuraba
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.4 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Heavier 166 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakuraba’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 6:53, how much damage will he do? McGregor Sakuraba
Significant Strikes36
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:53
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sakuraba on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazushi
Sakuraba
In 6:53, how much damage will he do? Sakuraba McGregor
Significant Strikes17
Sakuraba's poor striking offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:53
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sakuraba's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:53
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sakuraba has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McGregor 8.6
fighter Sakuraba 7.4
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McGregor 8.5
fighter Sakuraba 7.8
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McGregor 9.4
fighter Sakuraba 6.2
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McGregor 6.5
fighter Sakuraba 8.1
Great submissions by Sakuraba
Round 1 Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
Round 1 Dec 31, 2005 vs Minowa
Round 3 Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McGregor 9.2
fighter Sakuraba 7.6
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McGregor
legend Sakuraba
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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