UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Rockhold

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Rockhold

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
60% chance Rockhold
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.4 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much taller 191 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% taller
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 7:37, how much damage will he do? Rockhold McGregor
Significant Strikes46
Rockhold's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:37
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 7:37, how much damage will he do? McGregor Rockhold
Significant Strikes29
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:37
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rockhold 9.1
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rockhold 7.4
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rockhold 7.9
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rockhold 8.6
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rockhold 9.5
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rockhold
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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