UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Bermudez

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Bermudez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Bermudez
WILL WIN

2,055

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dennis Bermudez
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Bermudez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Bermudez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bermudez McGregor
Significant Strikes82
Bermudez's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Bermudez's good takedown offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bermudez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bermudez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bermudez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bermudez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor Bermudez
Significant Strikes72
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bermudez 8.8
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Bermudez
44 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
73 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
120 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Grice

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bermudez 8.9
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Bermudez
6 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
4 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
8 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Garza

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bermudez 7.3
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bermudez 7.5
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Bermudez
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Hayden
Round 2 Feb 06, 2010 vs Seipel
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Taylor

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bermudez 7.6
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bermudez
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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