UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Holloway

2,038

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McGregor

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
69% chance McGregor
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.3 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 185 cm vs 177 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Max Holloway
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 25 years vs 29 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 8:52, how much damage will he do? McGregor Holloway
Significant Strikes47
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
McGregor's average takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 8:52, how much damage will he do? Holloway McGregor
Significant Strikes45
Holloway's average striking offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:52
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:52
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McGregor 8.6
fighter Holloway 8.6
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McGregor 8.5
fighter Holloway 7.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McGregor 9.4
fighter Holloway 7.9
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McGregor 6.5
fighter Holloway 6.8
Great submissions by Holloway
Round 3 Apr 18, 2015 vs Swanson
Round 3 Apr 26, 2014 vs Fili

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McGregor 9.2
fighter Holloway 7.3
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 17, 2013UFC Fight Night 26
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
1,9841,791
2,0091,766
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McGregor
legend Holloway
Read More
McGregor vs Lesnar
Fantasy Cage Match
Holloway vs Edgar
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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