UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Woodley

2,038

CageRank

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
57% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 9:58, how much damage will he do? Woodley McGregor
Significant Strikes57
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:58
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Woodley's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 9:58, how much damage will he do? McGregor Woodley
Significant Strikes36
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:58
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Woodley 8.4
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Light
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Woods

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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