UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGregor vs Romero

2,038

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McGregor

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
62% chance McGregor
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 29 years vs 40 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 7:14, how much damage will he do? McGregor Romero
Significant Strikes34
McGregor's good striking offense may be a factor against Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 65 Significant Strikes in 7:14
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:14
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 7:14, how much damage will he do? Romero McGregor
Significant Strikes40
Romero's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 65 Significant Strikes in 7:14
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Romero's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:14
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McGregor 8.6
fighter Romero 8.8
Great striking by Romero
60 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
50 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
12 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McGregor 8.5
fighter Romero 7.9
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McGregor 9.4
fighter Romero 9.0
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McGregor 9.2
fighter Romero 8.1
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McGregor
legend Romero
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Romero vs Rockhold
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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