UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McLellan vs Henrique Costa

1,837

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McLellan

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance McLellan
WILL WIN

1,628

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Garreth McLellan
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.9 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Paulo Henrique Costa
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 26 years vs 35 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
McLellan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henrique Costa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Garreth
McLellan
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McLellan is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
McLellan has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
McLellan is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Henrique Costa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McLellan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paulo
Henrique Costa
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henrique Costa has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henrique Costa is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Henrique Costa is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McLellan 6.7
fighter Henrique Costa 8.2
Great knockouts by Henrique Costa
Round 1 Nov 01, 2013 vs Moreira
Round 1 Jun 15, 2013 vs Borges Duarte
Round 1 Feb 25, 2012 vs Esteves

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McLellan 8.6
fighter Henrique Costa 6.9
Great submissions by McLellan
Round 1 Oct 10, 2013 vs Smith
Round 1 Jul 27, 2012 vs de Bruyn
Round 2 Oct 21, 2010 vs Henderson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McLellan 8.4
fighter Henrique Costa 8.1
Fast finishes by McLellan
82 seconds Jul 27, 2012 vs de Bruyn
518 seconds Oct 21, 2010 vs Henderson
80 seconds May 30, 2009 vs Kruger
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 11, 2017UFC Fight Night 106
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McLellan
legend Henrique Costa
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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