UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Holmes vs Bygate

1,618

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Holmes

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Holmes
WILL WIN

1,463

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lee Holmes
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 7.8 vs 6.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 7.5 vs 6.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Sham Bygate
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Holmes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bygate’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lee
Holmes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holmes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Holmes has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Holmes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bygate on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holmes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sham
Bygate
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bygate is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Bygate has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Bygate is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holmes 8.1
fighter Bygate 7.3
Great submissions by Holmes
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Houghton
Round 1 May 07, 2011 vs Fletcher
Round 2 Mar 12, 2011 vs Lazzurri

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holmes 7.8
fighter Bygate 7.3
Fast finishes by Holmes
148 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Houghton
135 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bygate
148 seconds May 07, 2011 vs Fletcher
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 19, 2011TC 44 - Total Combat 44
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5931,500
1,6301,463
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holmes
legend Bygate
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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