UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smolka vs Pacarro

1,821

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Smolka

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Smolka
WILL WIN

1,523

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Louis Smolka
Much stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Shane Pacarro
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Smolka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pacarro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Louis
Smolka
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smolka has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Smolka has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smolka is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Pacarro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smolka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shane
Pacarro
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pacarro is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pacarro is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Pacarro is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smolka 7.3
fighter Pacarro 7.1
Great knockouts by Smolka
Round 2 Nov 09, 2013 vs Cali
Round 2 Apr 28, 2012 vs Pacarro
Round 2 May 15, 2010 vs Henamendez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Pacarro 7.4
Great submissions by Smolka
Round 1 Sep 14, 2013 vs Rafols
Round 3 Feb 16, 2013 vs Cacdac
Round 2 Oct 20, 2012 vs Martin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Pacarro 7.4
Fast finishes by Smolka
412 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Cali
119 seconds Sep 14, 2013 vs Rafols
839 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Cacdac
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,5321,579
1,5881,523
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smolka
legend Pacarro
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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