UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alexander vs Ortiz

1,657

CageRank

WINNER
Ortiz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
84% chance Ortiz
WILL WIN

1,940

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Ortiz
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Cory Alexander
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.2 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alexander’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Ortiz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Alexander on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cory
Alexander
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alexander is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alexander is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alexander has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ortiz 7.6
fighter Alexander 6.4
Great knockouts by Ortiz
Round 3 Nov 09, 2013 vs Maria Tome
Round 3 Dec 02, 2011 vs Rave
Round 3 Oct 09, 2010 vs Alexander

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ortiz 6.6
fighter Alexander 7.5
Great submissions by Alexander
Round 2 Oct 12, 2013 vs Lowe
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs Pennington
Round 2 Feb 28, 2009 vs Copher

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ortiz 6.9
fighter Alexander 7.2
Fast finishes by Alexander
472 seconds Oct 12, 2013 vs Lowe
328 seconds Jun 19, 2010 vs Pennington
378 seconds Feb 28, 2009 vs Copher
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XR2 SUB
1,5441,717
1,5171,744
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ortiz
legend Alexander
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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