UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nascimento vs Ponzinibbio

1,471

CageRank

WINNER
Ponzinibbio

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
89% chance Ponzinibbio
WILL WIN

1,835

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Santiago Ponzinibbio
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.1 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Lucas Nascimento
From what we can tell, Santiago Ponzinibbio dominates Lucas Nascimento in every way.
Ponzinibbio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nascimento’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Santiago
Ponzinibbio
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ponzinibbio has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ponzinibbio has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Nascimento on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ponzinibbio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lucas
Nascimento
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nascimento is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nascimento is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nascimento is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ponzinibbio 7.8
fighter Nascimento 6.5
Great knockouts by Ponzinibbio
Round 2 Dec 12, 2011 vs Dias
Round 1 Sep 17, 2011 vs Nascimento
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Inseto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ponzinibbio 7.3
fighter Nascimento 6.8
Great submissions by Ponzinibbio
Round 1 Jun 09, 2012 vs Duarte
Round 1 Mar 02, 2012 vs Vieira
Round 0 Sep 27, 2009 vs Sosa Campi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ponzinibbio 8.2
fighter Nascimento 6.7
Fast finishes by Ponzinibbio
158 seconds Jun 09, 2012 vs Duarte
600 seconds Dec 12, 2011 vs Dias
90 seconds Sep 17, 2011 vs Nascimento
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,5341,757
1,5121,778
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ponzinibbio
legend Nascimento
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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