UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Andrade vs Carmouche

1,799

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Andrade

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Andrade
WILL WIN

1,707

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jessica Andrade
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 27 years vs 34 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Liz Carmouche
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 168 cm vs 157 cm More than 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 125 lbs vs 114 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Andrade on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carmouche’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jessica
Andrade
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Andrade Carmouche
Significant Strikes66
Andrade's average striking offense is matched by Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Andrade's average takedown offense is matched by Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Andrade is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Andrade is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Andrade has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Carmouche on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Andrade’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Liz
Carmouche
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Carmouche Andrade
Significant Strikes82
Carmouche's average striking offense may be a factor against Andrade's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Carmouche's average takedown offense is matched by Andrade's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carmouche has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Carmouche is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carmouche is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Andrade 8.5
fighter Carmouche 8.5
Great striking by Andrade
206 strikes Oct 26, 2013 vs Sexton

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Andrade 8.6
fighter Carmouche 8.5
Great takedowns by Andrade
1 takedown Oct 26, 2013 vs Sexton

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Andrade 7.0
fighter Carmouche 7.9
Great knockouts by Carmouche
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
Round 3 Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Round 2 Sep 30, 2010 vs Shevchenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Andrade 7.6
fighter Carmouche 7.0
Great submissions by Andrade
Round 2 Apr 14, 2013 vs Dudieva
Round 2 Jan 27, 2013 vs dos Passos Pereira
Round 1 Aug 28, 2012 vs Silva

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Andrade 7.6
fighter Carmouche 7.6
Fast finishes by Carmouche
537 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
514 seconds Jul 28, 2012 vs Young
690 seconds Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 27, 2013UFC on Fox 8
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R1 SUBX
1,7351,729
1,6841,780
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Andrade
legend Carmouche
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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