UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Andrade vs Pennington

1,799

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Andrade

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
68% chance Andrade
WILL WIN

1,667

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jessica Andrade
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 26 years vs 29 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Raquel Pennington
Much heavier 134 lbs vs 114 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much taller 170 cm vs 157 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Andrade on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pennington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jessica
Andrade
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Andrade Pennington
Significant Strikes73
Andrade's average striking offense is matched by Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Andrade's average takedown offense is matched by Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Andrade is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Andrade is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Andrade has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Pennington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Andrade’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raquel
Pennington
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pennington Andrade
Significant Strikes80
Pennington's average striking offense may be a factor against Andrade's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Pennington's average takedown offense is matched by Andrade's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pennington is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pennington is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pennington is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Andrade 8.5
fighter Pennington 8.5
Great striking by Andrade
206 strikes Oct 26, 2013 vs Sexton

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Andrade 8.6
fighter Pennington 8.5
Great takedowns by Andrade
1 takedown Oct 26, 2013 vs Sexton

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Andrade 7.0
fighter Pennington 6.5
Great knockouts by Andrade
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Silva
Round 2 May 20, 2012 vs Correia
Round 2 Sep 06, 2011 vs Borges

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Andrade 7.6
fighter Pennington 7.3
Great submissions by Andrade
Round 2 Apr 14, 2013 vs Dudieva
Round 2 Jan 27, 2013 vs dos Passos Pereira
Round 1 Aug 28, 2012 vs Silva

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Andrade 7.6
fighter Pennington 7.3
Fast finishes by Andrade
574 seconds Apr 14, 2013 vs Dudieva
515 seconds Jan 27, 2013 vs dos Passos Pereira
74 seconds Aug 28, 2012 vs Silva
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 5, 2015UFC 191
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XX
00
00
March 15, 2014UFC 171
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Andrade
legend Pennington
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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