UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Murphy vs Nakamoto

1,812

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Murphy

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Murphy
WILL WIN

1,577

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lauren Murphy
Much stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 35 years vs 41 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Miriam Nakamoto
Significantly better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Murphy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nakamoto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lauren
Murphy
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Murphy has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Murphy is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Murphy has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Nakamoto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Murphy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Miriam
Nakamoto
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nakamoto has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nakamoto is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nakamoto is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Murphy 8.4
fighter Nakamoto 8.0
Great knockouts by Murphy
Round 4 Dec 07, 2013 vs Nakamoto
Round 2 Oct 28, 2011 vs Griffin
Round 2 Jan 12, 2011 vs Bailey

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Murphy 7.6
fighter Nakamoto 7.6
Fast finishes by Nakamoto
128 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Yankovich
519 seconds Sep 15, 2012 vs Phillips
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R4 KOX
R2 KOX
1,7861,603
1,8121,577
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Murphy
legend Nakamoto
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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