UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gastelum vs Bisping

1,949

CageRank

WINNER
Bisping

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
65% chance Bisping
WILL WIN

2,057

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Bisping
Better striker 9.5 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 182 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Kelvin Gastelum
Significantly younger 26 years vs 38 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Bisping on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gastelum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Bisping
In 10:37, how much damage will he do? Bisping Gastelum
Significant Strikes73
Bisping's excellent striking offense will dominate Gastelum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bisping's average takedown offense is matched by Gastelum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bisping is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Bisping is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gastelum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bisping’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kelvin
Gastelum
In 10:37, how much damage will he do? Gastelum Bisping
Significant Strikes37
Gastelum's average striking offense won't be a factor against Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:37
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gastelum's good takedown offense is matched by Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:37
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gastelum is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gastelum is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gastelum has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bisping 9.5
fighter Gastelum 8.5
Great striking by Bisping
93 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Belcher
102 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
50 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bisping 8.3
fighter Gastelum 8.9
Great takedowns by Gastelum
1 takedown Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
3 takedowns Apr 13, 2013 vs Hall

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bisping 8.5
fighter Gastelum 7.6
Great knockouts by Bisping
Round 3 Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
Round 2 Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Kang

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bisping 6.8
fighter Gastelum 7.5
Great submissions by Gastelum
Round 1 Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Smallwood
Round 2 Dec 11, 2010 vs Sanchez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bisping 8.3
fighter Gastelum 7.9
Fast finishes by Bisping
814 seconds Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
414 seconds Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
222 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Day
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bisping
legend Gastelum
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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