UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gastelum vs Romero

1,949

CageRank

WINNER
Romero

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Romero
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 185 cm vs 182 cm Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Kelvin Gastelum
Much younger 26 years vs 41 years More than 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gastelum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 11:08, how much damage will he do? Romero Gastelum
Significant Strikes61
Romero's good striking offense may be a factor against Gastelum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:08
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Romero's average takedown offense is matched by Gastelum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:08
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gastelum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kelvin
Gastelum
In 11:08, how much damage will he do? Gastelum Romero
Significant Strikes48
Gastelum's average striking offense is matched by Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:08
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Gastelum's good takedown offense may be a factor against Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:08
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gastelum is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gastelum is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gastelum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Romero 8.8
fighter Gastelum 8.5
Great striking by Romero
60 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
50 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
12 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Romero 7.9
fighter Gastelum 8.9
Great takedowns by Gastelum
1 takedown Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
3 takedowns Apr 13, 2013 vs Hall

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Romero 9.0
fighter Gastelum 7.6
Great knockouts by Romero
Round 3 Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
Round 3 Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Romero 6.6
fighter Gastelum 7.5
Great submissions by Gastelum
Round 1 Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Smallwood
Round 3 Jul 16, 2011 vs Moguel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Romero 8.1
fighter Gastelum 7.9
Fast finishes by Romero
803 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
699 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
92 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Romero
legend Gastelum
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Romero vs Woodley
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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