UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gastelum vs Ashford

1,949

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gastelum

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
95% chance Gastelum
WILL WIN

1,440

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kelvin Gastelum
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Mike Ashford
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Gastelum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ashford’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kelvin
Gastelum
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gastelum has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gastelum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Gastelum has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ashford on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gastelum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Ashford
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ashford is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ashford is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ashford is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gastelum 7.6
fighter Ashford 6.5
Great knockouts by Gastelum
Round 1 Jul 20, 2012 vs Ashford
Round 2 Oct 22, 2011 vs Gentile
Round 2 Dec 11, 2010 vs Sanchez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gastelum 7.5
fighter Ashford 7.3
Great submissions by Gastelum
Round 1 Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Smallwood
Round 3 Jul 16, 2011 vs Moguel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gastelum 7.9
fighter Ashford 7.2
Fast finishes by Gastelum
146 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
746 seconds Jul 16, 2011 vs Moguel
398 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Sanchez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,6651,464
1,6891,440
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gastelum
legend Ashford
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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