UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Duarte vs Ponzinibbio

1,724

CageRank

WINNER
Ponzinibbio

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
65% chance Ponzinibbio
WILL WIN

1,835

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Santiago Ponzinibbio
Much heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.1 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Cleiton Duarte
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Ponzinibbio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Duarte’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Santiago
Ponzinibbio
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ponzinibbio has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Duarte on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ponzinibbio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cleiton
Duarte
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Duarte has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Duarte is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Duarte is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ponzinibbio 7.8
fighter Duarte 8.8
Great knockouts by Duarte
Round 2 Jun 11, 2011 vs Latorre
Round 2 Sep 12, 2010 vs Lara
Round 1 Jul 05, 2003 vs de Cristo Goncalves

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ponzinibbio 7.3
fighter Duarte 6.1
Great submissions by Ponzinibbio
Round 1 Jun 09, 2012 vs Duarte
Round 1 Mar 02, 2012 vs Vieira
Round 0 Sep 27, 2009 vs Sosa Campi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ponzinibbio 8.2
fighter Duarte 8.0
Fast finishes by Ponzinibbio
158 seconds Jun 09, 2012 vs Duarte
600 seconds Dec 12, 2011 vs Dias
90 seconds Sep 17, 2011 vs Nascimento
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 KO
1,8291,841
1,7811,889
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ponzinibbio
legend Duarte
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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