UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Thirkell vs Fitzgerald

1,709

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Thirkell

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Thirkell
WILL WIN

1,502

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Thirkell
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 6.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Kyle Fitzgerald
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Thirkell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fitzgerald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Thirkell
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thirkell is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Thirkell has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Thirkell is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Fitzgerald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thirkell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kyle
Fitzgerald
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fitzgerald is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Fitzgerald is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Fitzgerald has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Thirkell 7.5
fighter Fitzgerald 6.2
Great knockouts by Thirkell
Round 1 Nov 29, 2014 vs Langley
Round 1 Feb 22, 2014 vs O'Toole
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Wilson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Thirkell 7.8
fighter Fitzgerald 6.8
Great submissions by Thirkell
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Fitzgerald
Round 1 Sep 18, 2010 vs Mahaffey
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Oliver

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Thirkell 8.2
fighter Fitzgerald 6.9
Fast finishes by Thirkell
153 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Wilson
169 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Fitzgerald
123 seconds Sep 18, 2010 vs Mahaffey
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 19, 2011TC 44 - Total Combat 44
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5561,546
1,6041,497
November 13, 2010TC 37 - Total Combat 37
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
R2 SUBX
1,5931,550
1,5371,606
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Thirkell
legend Fitzgerald
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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