UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johns vs Mercanoglu

1,976

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johns

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
90% chance Johns
WILL WIN

1,591

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brett Johns
Much stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Timur Mercanoglu
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 155 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Johns on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mercanoglu’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brett
Johns
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johns has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Johns is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Johns has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mercanoglu on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johns’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Timur
Mercanoglu
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mercanoglu is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mercanoglu is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mercanoglu is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johns 7.1
fighter Mercanoglu 6.7
Great knockouts by Johns
Round 2 May 04, 2013 vs MacAlister
Round 1 Nov 24, 2012 vs Monty

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johns 7.2
fighter Mercanoglu 7.8
Great submissions by Mercanoglu
Round 2 Oct 13, 2012 vs Miah
Round 1 Jun 02, 2012 vs Clarke
Round 1 Mar 13, 2011 vs Meaney

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johns 7.7
fighter Mercanoglu 7.7
Fast finishes by Mercanoglu
385 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Miah
31 seconds Jun 02, 2012 vs Clarke
66 seconds Nov 20, 2011 vs Burton
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 SUBX
1,6171,579
1,6621,535
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johns
legend Mercanoglu
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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