UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Santana vs Moraes

1,457

CageRank

WINNER
Moraes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
95% chance Moraes
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Marlon Moraes
Much better submission defense 8.4 vs 6.7 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 6.8 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Bruno Santana
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Moraes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santana’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marlon
Moraes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraes has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Moraes has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Moraes has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Santana on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bruno
Santana
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santana is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Santana is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Santana is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Moraes 7.9
fighter Santana 7.3
Great knockouts by Moraes
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
Round 1 Apr 13, 2012 vs Card

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Moraes 8.3
fighter Santana 7.3
Fast finishes by Moraes
32 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
175 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
47 seconds Apr 13, 2012 vs Card
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
1,5001,550
1,4571,593
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Moraes
legend Santana
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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